Atlas Macro

Markets

Treasuries

US government bonds backed by the full faith and credit of the US government. The safest fixed-income assets.

Key points

  • Benchmark for all other bond yields (spreads measured off Treasuries).
  • Bill, note, bond maturities: 4-week to 30-year.
  • Traded in highly liquid, deep markets; smallest bid-ask spreads.

Example

If the 10Y Treasury yields 4.5%, a corporate bond yielding 6.0% has a 150 bps spread; a widening to 200 bps signals increased credit risk.

In history

In 2022-23 the 10-year Treasury yield rose much less than the Fed's policy rate: from about 1.6% to a peak near 5%, while the funds rate rose by more than 5 points. The curve inverted because markets expected rates to fall again later.

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