Atlas Macro

Economy

Wages

Compensation paid to workers, tracked via Average Hourly Earnings and Employment Cost Index.

Key points

  • Wage growth can feed into inflation (wage-price spiral).
  • Tight labor markets drive wage increases.
  • Real wages adjust for inflation.

Example

When wages grow 5% and productivity gains 1%, unit labor costs rise about 4%, pressuring margins and potentially inflation.

In history

Average Hourly Earnings growth peaked near 6% year-over-year in early 2022, then eased toward 4% by late 2023 as labor demand cooled.

Related terms